Getting ready for 2017…
This has been an interesting week for the Yankees.
Credit: Butch Dill, USA TODAY Sports
Masahiro Tanaka, Chasen Shreve, and Jordan Montgomery combined to threw a no-hitter on St Patrick’s Day as the Yankees defeated the Detroit Tigers, 3-0. Tanaka has been stellar this spring, and looks to be a potential Cy Young candidate if he keeps it up. Jordan Montgomery had some early struggles in camp, but he has been coming on strong lately and might have inserted his name into the competition for the last two rotation spots. It was a great game for the Yankees even if spring games do not really matter.
Gary Sanchez and Greg Bird have continued to show that they will be a big part of the Yankees offense this year. It’s great to see that Bird has rebounded from last year’s injury. With former Yankees first baseman Mark Teixeira’s knack for ice-cold starts to new seasons, I am anxious to see if Bird can fly early in the new season.
Credit: Matt Rourke, AP
James Kaprielian gave a great performance in his only spring appearance before being sent down to minor league camp for re-assignment. He pitched two scoreless innings in Thursday’s game. I know that Kaprielian still has much work ahead of him, but I am cautiously optimistic that we’ll see him at the major league level in September. It would help set him up as a prime candidate to replace CC Sabathia in the rotation next year.
Gleyber Torres is another that has really impressed me. He has shown leadership and ability beyond his years and despite never having played above High A ball, he has stood shoulder to shoulder with his major league peers. He is only a year or two away. The team will be substantially improved once he is ready.
I really feel bad for Robert Refsnyder. All things considered, I’d choose him over Ronald Torreyes for the utility spot on the team. But Refsnyder just doesn’t have the necessary defensive skills. The Yankees have Ref on the trading block so it’s possible that a move could be made within the next couple of weeks. While I would hate to see him go, I would be very excited for him if a trade opens up a starting role for him.
I feel bad for manager Joe Girardi. He has some very difficult decisions ahead. Too many talented guys to narrow the list to just 25 but he has to do it anyway. Deserving guys will be on the outside looking in.
Here’s my prediction for the Opening Day roster:
C: Gary Sanchez
1B: Greg Bird
2B: Starlin Castro
SS: Didi Gregorius
3B: Chase Headley
LF: Brett Gardner
CF: Jacoby Ellsbury
RF: Aaron Judge
DH: Matt Holliday
1B: Chris Carter
OF: Aaron Hicks
UTILITY: Ronald Torreyes
C: Austin Romine
1-RHP: Masahiro Tanaka
2-RHP: Michael Pineda
3-LHP: CC Sabathia
4-RHP: Luis Severino
5-LHP: Bryan Mitchell
LHP: Tommy Layne
RHP: Ben Heller
RHP: Chad Green
RHP: Adam Warren
RHP: Tyler Clippard-Setup
RHP: Dellin Betances-Setup
LHP: Aroldis Chapman-Closer
For my roster, I couldn’t find room for Jon Niese. He has not pitched badly, but I feel other guys have proven themselves. To add Niese to the roster would require dropping someone from the 40-man roster. Given the Yankees just signed Ernesto Frieri to a minor league deal with invite to major league camp, it would make more sense to open the spot on the 40-man for Frieri if/when he proves that he can still be an effective major league reliever. Niese wasn’t going to start for the Yankees so relief is his only opportunity. To me, there are too many equal arms or better.
I would love to remove Jacoby Ellsbury from the roster, but I don’t have $90 million to burn so it looks like we’re stuck with him and can only hope for the best. I am also looking forward to Chase Headley’s future as an ex-Yankee whenever that day may be. I will be paying very careful attention to the development of prospect Dustin Fowler (center field) and Miguel Andujar (third base). When those guys are ready, it will be time to find a way to unload Ellsbury and Headley.
It has been very exciting to watch the Yankees perform this spring. As I type this post, they are 16-5, the best spring mark in the MLB. The Baby Bombers have excelled, time and again. There’s a strong sense of excitement and energy that did not exist at this point last year. I am not predicting a World Series championship or even an AL East title, but the Yankees should be very fun to watch this year. Better days are truly ahead.
The Bryce is Right…
With Bryce Harper’s free agency still a few seasons away, I am surprised that there is so much discussion about his future (potentially) in pinstripes. So much can happen between now and 2019.
While the Yankees do not have a true superstar at any position except maybe Closer, there’s a wealth of outfield prospects. Aaron Judge has a history of first failing and then massively succeeding at each level. With the initial underwhelming big league performance behind him, the expectation is that he’ll grab right field for years to come. There’s other help on the way for the outfield. With so many talented infield prospects headlined by shortstop (second baseman?) Gleyber Torres, it has been mentioned that shortstop Jorge Mateo’s future is in centerfield. Clint Frazier, a centerfielder, will most likely be moved to a corner outfield position. If each player performs to his respective potential, a trio of Judge, Mateo, and Frazier is very, very solid.
The Yankees also have other young talented outfield prospects. Mason Williams, although injuries have not been his friend. Dustin Fowler is aggressively raising his stock in prospect rankings. Blake Rutherford was a steal in last year’s draft and seems destined for greatness. Billy McKinney is an over-looked, unappreciated talent but he’s opened some eyes this spring.
At face value, Outfield does not appear that it will be a weakness for the team anytime soon. Well, maybe as long as Jacoby Ellsbury is starting in center, but that’s another matter.
Over the last few years, Owner Hal Steinbrenner has evolved the organization from its free-spending ways to financial conservatism. Although the Yankees consistently have one of the highest payrolls in baseball, the payroll has stayed fairly level for a number of years. There’s a genuine opportunity for the Yankees to get under the luxury tax threshold next year. Signing Harper is going to cost a lot of money. Giancarlo Stanton may currently hold baseball’s most lucrative contract, but Harper will surpass Stanton and not by a close margin. Harper could legitimately be baseball’s first $500 million man. More than likely, it will be around $400 million but still, that’s a huge financial commitment for anyone.
Attendance has declined at Yankee Stadium the past few years. With no true superstars in an every day role, the Yankees need players who can not only perform on the field, but can draw fans to the Bronx. Gary Sanchez and Aaron Judge may soon have that dual ability, if the former does not already have it. But signing Bryce Harper, a childhood Yankees fan, would be huge for attendance. His lefty bat, among a sea of righties, would be huge. He’ll only be 26 when he hits free agency so a lengthy obligation would not look as ugly at the end as it did for Alex Rodriguez.
I am a proponent for the Yankees to sign Harper. At some point, the Yankees will have to make a trade for a frontline starting pitcher (or two) and they’ll need to use talented top prospects to make it happen. They can deal from outfield (and infield) strength and bring the necessary help for the rotation. With Masahiro Tanaka’s looming opt-out after the season, the Yankees will need to make trades to supplement the infusion of youth if they are to achieve the championship dreams in a couple of years.
Harper in pinstripes would put the team closer to Championship #28 while boosting gate attendance to help subsidize his enormous contract.
The starting rotation competition…
As the battle for the fourth and fifth spots in the rotation continue, there are some early favorites. I think it’s a given that Luis Severino will take the fourth spot. The team wants him to succeed as a starter. Last year was a disappointment as Severino arrived at training camp in bulked up physical condition and was not able to effectively throw his change up with the same velocity. He has worked this off-season to reduce bulk and to recapture the touch he previously had with the change-up, his third pitch. He may have been winless in starts last year before finding success in the bullpen late in the season, but he deserves another chance. If he is able to throw his three pitches effectively, the results this year will be much better.
Most experts are predicting Chad Green as the other starting option. I know that he had a few good starts last year, but I can’t say I am convinced. I would prefer to see Bryan Mitchell in the rotation over Green. I also like Luis Cessa, but I agree that his ceiling is not that great. I’d love to see Jordan Montgomery excel but I think he needs at least another year in the minors before he is ready. Jon Niese is certainly an option but it’s curious that he has yet to make a spring appearance.
Regardless of who wins the starting spots, it’s a certainty that more than two will have the opportunity to start over the course of the season. I fully expect to see Chance Adams and Dietrich Enns at some point, and September will most likely see James Kaprielian’s first major league start (if it doesn’t happen sooner).
Mayans MC, Santo Padre Charter
Okay, this is a bit off-topic but I am excited about the upcoming Sons of Anarchy spinoff series, Mayans MC.
The latest Kurt Sutter offering will film its pilot this month. There has been no announcement that the FX Network has picked up the series for its fall lineup, but it’s hard to imagine that they would not. The creative team has slowly been announcing its cast members. With each announcement they give a little deeper insight into the show’s storyline. Set in the same mythology as the Sons of Anarchy, the new show will pick up life post-Jax Teller and will be set on the Mexican-California border.
Here is the synopsis released by FX:
Set in the aftermath of Jax Teller’s death at the end of SOA’s seven-season run in 2014, Mayans MC will focus on the struggles of Ezekiel “EZ” Reyes, a prospect in the Mayan MC charter on the California/Mexico border. EZ is the gifted son of a proud Latino family, whose American dream was snuffed out by cartel violence. Now, his need for vengeance drives him toward a life he never intended and can never escape.
When I first heard about the potential new series, I had hoped that Emilio Rivera would be part of the project. His character, Marcus Alvarez, President of the Northern California charter of the Mayans MC, was one of my favorite characters on Sons of Anarchy. With the casting announcements, the character that will be President of the featured charter (Santo Padre) is cousins with Alvarez and the press release indicated that he lived, for a time, with Alvarez. This gives a possible tie-in to Sons of Anarchy as the character most likely had some interaction with the rival MC. A nice setup for possible flashbacks.
The casting choices have been exemplary.
- Felipe Reyes (father of the protagonist): Edward James Olmos
- Angel Reyes (brother of the protagonist, full patch member of the MC): Clayton Cardenas
- Esai “Taino” Ossorio (President of the Mayans MC, Santo Padre charter): John Ortiz
- Michael “Riz” Ariza (Vice President of the Mayans MC): Antonio Jaramillo
- EZ Reyes (the protagonist, a prospect of the MC): JD Pardo
- Johnny “El Coco” Cruz (full patch member of the MC): Richard Cabral
There are still critical roles to be announced. The setup features conflict with the Cartel so villains will be needed, with through regular cast members or through guest starring roles. There’s also a love interest that EZ Reyes seeks to protect so that will be a key hire.
I am looking forward to the show and hope it’s as successful as its predecessor but in its own right. Marcus Alvarez, now credited as National President and Founder of the Mayans MC, (Emilio Rivera) will be an awesome bridge between the two series.
Have a great weekend!
You had me at…, um, no, you didn’t…
We are supposed to simply accept a handwritten apology? Right. Sorry, I don’t buy it and I don’t think it would matter if A-Rod spoke before a packed house at Yankee Stadium. Alex Rodriguez is sorry for only one thing. He got caught. He could care less about you or me. Honestly, at this point, the only thing that I’d accept out of A-Rod’s words would be a retirement announcement.
I saw a few New York sportswriters commenting that home runs will bring the fans back. Are we so shallow that we could forgive Alex for his behavior by simply forgetting all with the first ball that clears the fence? I know that I will not be a fan of Alex Rodriguez today nor would I be one if by September he has hit 40 home runs. My days cheering him are over. I am still a Yankees fan, and of course, I want the team to win. I would not wish for A-Rod to do anything detrimental to the team (well beyond the damage that he’s already done) but I will only accept his contributions as team contributions, not individual accomplishments.
I admit that I hope Alex plays so poorly in the spring, the Yankees bite the $60 million bullet and release him. But that’s too far fetched to be possible. He won’t need to do much to hold his own on the roster. Rob Refsnyder could play twice as well in spring training and end up in Scranton/Wilkes Barre while A-Rod is the team’s full time DH. But still, the thought of an outright release would be the best possible outcome in my mind.
As good as the Boston Red Sox’ front office has become, it’s too bad they weren’t better back in 2003 when they failed to acquire A-Rod from the Texas Rangers. How differently things might have been had A-Rod gone to Beantown.
Ifs and buts, I know…
It’s a numbers game…
There was a time when it seemed odd that Phil Hughes wore #65 or that Joba Chamberlain wore #62. Now, with the announcement plans to retire numbers 20, 46 and 51, the lower numbers are slowly going away. Of course #2 will soon be retired for Derek Jeter and I’ve always wondered if some day #21 will be taken down for Paul O’Neill. Jorge Posada, Andy Pettitte and Bernie Williams were all great Yankees and they deserve becoming legends of Monument Park. It was also very classy of the Yankees to announce plans for a plaque for former second baseman Willie Randolph.
It thought it was cool when Manny Ramirez wore #99 for the Los Angeles Dodgers a few years ago. Now, we’re probably just a few seasons away from someone donning the same number with the Yankees. Hopefully, I won’t live to see the days when players are wearing triple digits.
Make or break a farm system…
Based on all reports, I would love nothing more than to see the Yankees sign Cuban infielder Yoan Moncada. However, based on what I’ve read, I do expect the Los Angeles Dodgers to win the bidding. I hope the Yankees emerge victorious. Given they’ll be limited in the international market for the next few years, Moncada would be icing on the cake for the fantastic international draft they had this year. I know that there are no certainties but Moncada does sound like the real deal. I guess if the Dodgers win the bidding, I shouldn’t fret too much since I live just a few miles away from Dodger Stadium. But after an off-season of largely inactivity, signing Moncada would make this winter well worth the wait. I guess we’ll find out in the next couple of weeks.
Open the door…
Count me among those who hope that new MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred re-opens the Pete Rose case. It’s time to let Pete the Ballplayer take his rightful place in Baseball’s Hall of Fame. I will never defend Pete the Man, but I saw the ballplayer play, and he remains one of the greatest that I’ve ever seen. He has served his sentence and deserves to stand among the game’s greats.
* * *
It’s hard to believe that it is time for pitchers and catchers to report. With this off-season’s inactivity and losses, it is hard to envision October baseball in the Bronx. Yeah, yeah, if all things go right and everyone stays healthy, I know they have a chance. But realistically, this is a third place team at best with the potential for the cellar if things go horribly wrong. As always, I will throw in the caveat that I hope I am wrong. But if anything, I do think the Yankees are laying the groundwork for future success.
Let’s play ball…
Congratulations to the Boston Red Sox…
I know, I never expected to see the words appear on my blog. But you have to give credit where credit is due and the 2013 Boston Red Sox proved that they were the best team in baseball. This is a team that hit the bottom with the 2011 collapse in September that cost beloved manager Terry Francona his job, followed up by a year of Bobby Valentine that ranks as one of the worst teams in recent memory.
Proving that he is nobody’s fool, GM Ben Cherington deserves much of the credit. I am not sure how much the decisions can be attributed to Cherington or to Larry Lucchino, but the deal with the Los Angeles Dodgers last year to unload salary-draining dead wood was genius. The malcontents were shipped to the West Coast, while the recaptured dollars were re-invested to good clubhouse types like Mike Napoli, Jonny Gomes, Shane Victorino and Koji Uehara among others. The pieces made for good chemistry and the team, beards and all, became a very cohesive unit.
This may have been the first time that I ever pulled for the Red Sox in the post-season but they gained my respect and I thought they were the team to beat.
Naturally, I hope this is the end of the Sox championship run that started in 2004, but for this off-season, they are the champions of Baseball. Again, congratulations to the Red Sox, the city of Boston, and the Red Sox Nation.
Turns up like a bad penny…
I am so tired of Alex Rodriguez and anything A-Rod. His battle against the MLB is extending the inevitable suspension and is likely throwing a monkey wrench into the Yankees off-season plans. For a team that appears bent on getting under the $189 million salary cap, A-Rod’s salary is substantial. Will they be freed of it, for a season, or will they be responsible for some portion thereof, or does A-Rod win to bring his salary back in full? I think the latter is very remote if impossible. I, for one, would accept a year of no A-Rod even if it means the entire salary counts against the cap. The guy is poison and I don’t think the team will win again with him on the roster. Yes, they won in 2009, but teams generally do not win with such narcissistic players.
Rest assured that no decision Alex Rodriguez makes will be in the best interests of the Yankees and Major League Baseball. MLB needs the authority to end this foolish A-Rod farce and banish him for his sustained PEDS use and lies. I’d love a lifetime ban but I doubt that happens so I want nothing less than the original 214 game suspension.
Introducing the 2014 Yankees…
Check back with me in a few months.
There will be changes, but I am not sure that they will be the moves necessary to return the Yankees to AL East and American League prominence. I saw one New York paper running an article this morning that indicated the Yankees may go after the Detroit Tigers’ Omar Infante should free agent Robinson Cano. No offense to Infante, but what a drop off. I don’t think it is smart to pay Cano $300 million, but hopefully the Yankees and Cano can find common ground that is mutually rewarding for both.
I have seen the Yankees linked to free agents Brian McCann, Carlos Beltran, Ervin Santana, and A.J. Pierzynski. Yes, Beltran is a good post-season performer but you need to get there first. As a McCann fantasy owner this past season, I was frustrated with how much time he spent on the DL. I’ve always thought Santana was a decent pitcher, but he’s not a frontliner. Then again, when you’ve lost Andy Pettitte, Phil Hughes and possibly Hiroki Kuroda, you just need arms. The Yankees will most likely lose Curtis Granderson so the Yankees will spend most of the winter just trying to fill holes rather than being able to focus on adding significant upgrades.
It would be nice if some members of the farm system were ready to take the major league stage but that does not appear to be the case. We may see Dellin Betances in the bullpen as the Yankees look to find a quality setup specialist for new closer David Robertson.
I do not want to lose Robinson Cano but then again, I do not want the Yankees to give him an A-Rod like contract that will become a financial albatross in future years. I may be the only one who feels this way, but I am not excited about a 40 year old Derek Jeter at shortstop with bad ankles. The Yankees really need to find a younger shortstop who can spell Jeter and perhaps push #2 to DH more times than not.
Mark Teixeira, cold starts and a bad wrist. Second base…currently there are nothing but crickets. Shortstop…see aforementioned comment about DJ. Third base is really anybody’s guess. Catcher needs more than a backup catcher who can’t hit and a proven PEDS user. Right field is even older than shortstop. Left field, at the moment, only shows the largely unreliable Vernon Wells. Centerfield is truly the only position that I feel comfortable with, and even that carries some injury risk. On the pitching staff, CC Sabathia is starting to show that he’s on the downward slide, and Hiroki Kuroda could very well be pitching in Japan next season. The enigma, more commonly referred to as Ivan Nova, will be in the rotation but who really knows what we’ll get. Adam Warren, David Phelps, Manny Banuelos (if he can make it back), Michael Pineda and others form the pool that Joe Girardi will be picking from.
In the bullpen, it is no sure thing that David Robertson will succeed as a closer. In 2011, when the great Mariano Rivera went down for the season, Robertson had first crack at the job and failed. He gave way to Rafael Soriano who proved very capable in the role. Going into 2014, at the moment, there is no safety net for Robertson. This is truly an off-season of uncertainty and it doesn’t help that A-Rod is doing his part to ensure greater uncertainty.
The Red Sox, the Rays, the Jays, and the O’s must be loving this. I can only hope that GM Brian Cashman and the Steinbrenner Boys prove that they can check Ben Cherington’s move and bring championship baseball back to the Bronx where it belongs.
Wait, we’re not playing?…
This is odd. The AL and NL Division Series are underway and no Yankees. Yes, we’ve been spoiled but I still do remember those horrific 1980’s. This year kind of had that ‘Steve Kemp’ feeling to it, except that manager Joe Girardi managed his butt off to ensure the team didn’t finish in the cellar.
A week or so in, and it’s already been an odd off-season with Alex Rodriguez and his battle against MLB. Personally, I hope MLB throws the book at A-Rod and that his sentence turns out to be more than 211 games. I was surprised he decided to sue MLB and the Yankees doctor who treated him, and that he feels MLBPA representation is not in his best interests. In other words, it’s A-Rod’s world and we live in it. The moon, the sun and the stars revolve around him. He is simply the most egotistical player that I’ve ever seen. I wasn’t alive when Ty Cobb played so I cannot compare the two.
It’s disappointing that A-Rod’s fate will be drawn out through December or later. I hope that it does not impede the Yankees’ off-season. They should proceed as if they will not have A-Rod and I am sure that would be their wish as much as it is mine. If the team (i.e., Hal Steinbrenner) wants to come in under $189 million for the 2014, the key will be an A-Rod free season so that the Yankees can have some salary relief. But if they wait to see how the A-Rod situation plays out before addressing third base, we’ll be looking at a season with a Lyle Overbay-type player at third. I would like to see the return of Kevin Youkoulis, but Youk has proven you need a strong Plan B when you put him on the field.
Age is just a number…
I really do not know what we’ll get from Derek Jeter next year. I don’t believe that he’ll have the stellar farewell tour that Mariano Rivera had. Not that next year is DJ’s last year, but it will be the descent to the end. He could be the starter at short, and he could be a regular fixture at DH. He might be a continued regular on the DL. It’s anybody’s guess what we’ll get next year. But the known fact is that we’ll not get the All-Star of past years. At 40 years of age, his better days are clearly in the rearview mirror.
Windy City Joe…
As hard of the Chicago Cubs have made it known they want Joe Girardi, I would be surprised to see his return to the Bronx. I know that he’s talked about the Yankees being his dream job and he enjoys a good relationship with Hal Steinbrenner and Brian Cashman, but at the end of the day, Girardi is still a Chicago guy. The guy who wins a World Series for the Cubs will be a legend. The next guy to win a World Series for the Yankees will be #28. From a sheer challenge standpoint, history and tradition aside, I’d have to go with the job that presents the greatest challenge. For this reason, I am fully expecting Girardi to bolt for Chi-town. As a huge Donnie Baseball fan, I’d like nothing more than to see #23 return to the Bronx. If the Los Angeles Dodgers underachieve in the play-offs, there’s a good chance that he can be had. So, if there’s a possibility of Mattingly coming back to New York, I have very mixed feelings about the Girardi situation. I like Girardi as a manager and he did a great job this year. But I will always be a Don Mattingly fan above any others.
My only hope is that I don’t lose out on both…
No, the Grandy Man can’t…
Now that the Chicago White Sox have apparently expressed interest in Curtis Granderson, I don’t really see a scenario that Grandy stays in New York. He is a Chicago guy and at 33, it does not make sense for a team that needs to get younger, to give a long-term deal to an older player. So, I think we’ve seen the last of the Grandy Man in pinstripes.
Years with lots of $$$$$$$…thanks, but no thanks…
So, that leave us with Robinson Cano. I have truly enjoyed this guy as a Yankee and he has been a great second baseman. But the A-Rod situation has proven to me that very long-term deals never pan out and eventually become an albatross. So, as much as I like Cano, if another team throws a 10-year deal out there, it’s time to cut bait. I’d rather go with a younger team that has the potential of challenging for a World Series in a few years than try to hang on with older, long-in-the-tooth players and hope for lightning in a bottle.
Looking to the future…
I am not sure what this off-season will bring. I am not sold on Hal Steinbrenner as a Yankees owner. So far, he has struck me more as a bean counter than a passionate owner who wants to win. I admit that I could be so wrong about this perception and I truly hope that Hal does prove me wrong. We do not need wreckless, stupid decisions that hurt baseball, but Hal can make the decisions to field the best possible team in 2014. I do not feel that we did that in 2013. We went with the ‘bargain basement’ specials to field the team and there’s no way the team would have succeeded had they made the playoffs.
The Yankees were really hurt that no prospects took it to the next level to the main show this year. There are no Derek Jeters or Andy Pettittes or Jorge Posadas or Mariano Riveras waiting in the wings. I am really not sure where the next core is going to come from. At the moment, the New York Mets have the more promising future rotation. As we know, pitching wins championships.
Last year, the Boston Red Sox looked like a bloated, past their prime team. But with that spectacular deal to unload salaries with the Los Angeles Dodgers, they made the right moves to win the AL East this year and should most likely advance to the ALCS or World Series. Can the Yankees do this? It’s really up to Brian Cashman to produce. There was no optimism last off-season as a Yankees fan. I really hope that changes this year, but the realist in me expects it to be more of the same…